hiramnicak wrote: ↑Thu Dec 23, 2021 2:13 pm
it looks like we're tracking for a pick in the 10-15 range. good news is that there are currently 13 players i see dog-eared as top 3 picks from one source to another.
The Wings' are .080 better on point percentage than I had them pegged.
In some ways, it's smoke and mirrors.
I think the wings GF/GA differential (-16) is closer to the Wings' actual level than their points.
The Wings have gotten a lot of back-up and third string goalies from coaches looking to give their team a break, it seems. And to the Wings' credit they've cashed in.
Mo Seider and Lucas Raymond have obviously helped.
And I think, more than recently, it's fair to say when the Wings are good, they've been good. Especially at home at home they're 11-3-2.
But that goal differential?
I think that speaks to something really ugly about the team.
Detroit's been helped by Buffalo and Ottawa being Buffalo and Ottawa. By Montreal doing exactly what one might think they'd do without Price and Weber.
Boston with all their problems, is just waiting to zoom past Detroit.
Boston, with their injuries and suspensions, is still poised to overtake Detroit, obviously.
Still, while I expect Detroit to obviously fall from the playoff picture, I'm not sure how far they can fall.
Boston is the only team behind Detroit's obviously going to finish ahead of the Wings in the standings. Columbus and maybe Philadelphia could be in the mix in the east.
Out west, there are more middle-of-the-road teams with potential to sink.
Teams that Detroit should finish ahead of
Arizona
Montreal
Ottawa
Seattle
Chicago
Buffalo
Vancouver
San Jose
Chicago
New Jersey
Philadelphia
NY Islanders
That puts Detroit around 13th.
Maybe Columbus stays behind Detroit. But maybe the Islanders get hot and push for the playoffs.