Forecasting the Red Wings

[Pop Zeus]

Yeah, at this point they're gonna beat the forecast.
I do think December is tougher
Here's December
@ Buffalo - Loss
vs SJ - Win
vs Ottawa - Win
@ Dallas - Loss
@ St. Louis - Loss
vs Carolina - Loss
@ Philly - Loss
@ Jets - Loss
vs Philly - Win
@ NJ - Loss
@ Minnesota ) Loss
vs Nashville - Win
vs Boston - Loss

4 Wins 9 Losses
That's a lot of games to wrap around Christmas.
It'll probably be closer to 4-6-3 or 4-7-2

I think this one is going to come i pretty close to where I had it.
How about January
1-2 - @ SJ - W
1-4 @ LA - L
1-7 @ Ana - W
1-11 vs Edm - L
1-13 vs LA - L
1-14 vs TOR - L
1-17 @ FLA - L
1-19 @ CAR - L
1-21 vs TB - L
1-23 vs DAL - L
1-24 vs PHI - W
1-27 vs VEG - L
1-31 vs OTT - W

4-9-
Just on law of averages I'm gonna say 5-8
-
Playoffs will be a pipe dream on Feb. 1, enough time to know that Yzerman needs to sell.

[Machine]

Damn it
I hate when Pops is right
Fucking injuries and lackluster play

[Pop Zeus]

37 2023-12-31 Boston Bruins 0-`1
38 2024-01-02 @ San Jose Sharks 1-1
39 2024-01-04 @ Los Angeles Kings 1-2
40 2024-01-07 @ Anaheim Ducks 2-2
41 2024-01-11 Edmonton Oilers 2-2-1
42 2024-01-13 Los Angeles Kings 2-3-1
43 2024-01-14 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 2-4-1
44 2024-01-17 @ Florida Panthers 2-5-1
45 2024-01-19 @ Carolina Hurricanes 2-6-1
46 2024-01-21 Tampa Bay Lightning 2-7-1
47 2024-01-23 Dallas Stars 2-8-1
48 2024-01-25 Philadelphia Flyers 3-8-1
49 2024-01-27 Vegas Golden Knights 3-9-1
50 2024-01-31 Ottawa Senators 4-9-1
51 2024-02-10 Vancouver Canucks 5-9-1
52 2024-02-13 @ Edmonton Oilers 5-10-1
53 2024-02-15 @ Vancouver Canucks 5-11-1
54 2024-02-17 @ Calgary Flames 5-12-1
55 2024-02-19 @ Seattle Kraken 5-12-2
56 2024-02-22 Colorado Avalanche 5-13-2
57 2024-02-24 St. Louis Blues 6-13-2
58 2024-02-25 @ Chicago Blackhawks 7-13-2
59 2024-02-27 Washington Capitals 8-13-2
60 2024-02-29 New York Islanders 9-13-2
61 2024-03-02 Florida Panthers 9-14-2
62 2024-03-06 @ Colorado Avalanche 9-15-2
63 2024-03-08 @ Arizona Coyotes 9-15-3
64 2024-03-09 @ Vegas Golden Knights 9-16-3
65 2024-03-12 @ Buffalo Sabres 9-17-3
66 2024-03-14 Arizona Coyotes 10-17-3
67 2024-03-16 Buffalo Sabres 11-17-3
68 2024-03-17 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 11-18-3
69 2024-03-19 Columbus Blue Jackets 12-18-3
70 2024-03-21 New York Islanders 13-18-3
71 2024-03-23 @ Nashville Predators 13-19-3
72 2024-03-26 @ Washington Capitals 14-19-3
73 2024-03-28 @ Carolina Hurricanes 14-20-3
74 2024-03-30 @ Florida Panthers 14-21-3
75 2024-04-01 @ Tampa Bay Lightning 14-22-3
76 2024-04-05 New York Rangers 14-23-3
77 2024-04-07 Buffalo Sabres 15-23-3
78 2024-04-09 Washington Capitals 16-23-3
79 2024-04-11 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 16-24-3
80 2024-04-13 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 16-25-3
81 2024-04-15 Montreal Canadiens 17-25-3
82 2024-04-16 @ Montreal Canadiens 18-25-3

18-25-3 would put us at 35-40-7 -
77 points.
This could be even worse because last year's team got torched after the deadline.
The hard thing here for Detroit is January's schedule is really tough.
Then you have 10 days off to start February. When you resume, you head on the road for four games and come back home to solid teams in Colorado and St. Louis.

There's a weakening of the schedule in late February and early March that the Wings could find some hope in, if they're still in the race,

[wings8]

How about January
1-2 - @ SJ - W
1-4 @ LA - L
1-7 @ Ana - W
1-11 vs Edm - L
1-13 vs LA - L
1-14 vs TOR - L
1-17 @ FLA - L
1-19 @ CAR - L
1-21 vs TB - L
1-23 vs DAL - L
1-24 vs PHI - W
1-27 vs VEG - L
1-31 vs OTT - W

4-9-
Just on law of averages I'm gonna say 5-8
-
Playoffs will be a pipe dream on Feb. 1, enough time to know that Yzerman needs to sell.

So far in January they are 5-0-1.
3 wins in the games you had them loosing.
Of course it's all pure luck.

[DocBrown]

FLA and CAR are both hot and tend to make the Wings look pretty awful.

[Wizard of Corsica]

FLA and CAR are both hot and tend to make the Wings look pretty awful.

Correct. These 2 games a pine knot. If the Wings grab majority of the points from those matchups, I might get cocky.

One stat I found interesting is Florida gets 63.1% of their points in regulation. That's 5th in the NHL, second behind Boston in the East. Detroit and Toronto are tied at 51.9%. Carolina 57.1%. That sounds about right.

Source is Hockey Reference. - https://www.hockey-reference.com/league ... #all_stats

[DelHowLich]

FLA and CAR are both hot and tend to make the Wings look pretty awful.

FLA lost 2 straight, maybe the Wings catch them when they are down! FLA has had the Wings # for a few years now, time to reverse that trend!

[Stevie_Wings]

Wings last year after the 44 game mark went 16-20-2 the rest of the season and ended up with 80 points. They had a good run from games 44 to 57 and then it all went down hill from there. If they can manage a minimum 20-16-2 record the rest of the way this season, they will end up with 93 points on the season. They just can't have another month like December.
The 2 wildcard teams from last season had 93 and 92 points, so at the very least the Wings would be in the wildcard hunt until the last couple of games of this season.
The Wings can score and their D-zone play has somewhat improved (fingers crossed for an upgrade), the key will be goaltending; If Lyon can play close to a .910 level the rest of the way, Wings should be able to get in.

[Zattaman]

No matter how it ends, every "expert" had Ottawa or Buffalo as the next best new thing.

Well, there are reports that Ottawa is listening to offers for Tarasenko, Kubalik, and Chychrun. And, Buffalo has scored 28 fewer goals than we have.

Injuries (Larkin, Compher) and Perron's suspension had a big impact on our December record. There was a stretch where Veleno was our top line center.

If we can stay healthy and if Lyon stays hot, we've got enough firepower to keep a playoff spot.

[Wizard of Corsica]

1/18/24 - Leafs Lightning and Bruins win in 60 minutes. Sons of bitches.